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Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney could steal the Nobel Peace Prize from Donald Trump after the president complained for a year about not receiving the prize.
Trump has repeatedly expressed his grievances that the Norwegian Nobel Committee did not offer him the medal, saying he helped resolve several world conflicts. Now, with less than two weeks until this year’s prize is announced, one of the president’s political enemies could receive the coveted prize.
Carney had a 14 percent chance of winning the Nobel Peace Prize on Oct. 9, according to major aid organization Doctors Without Borders and Sudan’s emergency response rooms, sports betting news site Covers reported Monday morning, citing data from prediction market Kalshi.
The Canadian leader pushed back against Trump amid an escalating trade war. Carney said the United States tried to restrict his country’s ability to make trade deals with other countries during negotiations last month, which he called “unacceptable” and “a matter of sovereignty,” the Associated Press reported.
Carney received a standing ovation for his speech in January at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, in which he rebuked Trump’s threats to impose tariffs on imports from his European allies until the United States reached a deal to acquire Greenland.
“Canada strongly opposes tariffs on Greenland and calls for focused negotiations to achieve our shared goals of security and prosperity in the Arctic,” Carney said.
He also spoke of “the breakdown of the world order… where the great and principal power, geopolitics, is subject to no limits, no constraints.
“On the other hand, I would like to tell you that other countries, especially middle powers like Canada, are not powerless. They have the capacity to build a new order that embraces our values, such as respect for human rights, sustainable development, solidarity, sovereignty and territorial integrity of different states,” Carney said.
Carney’s chances of winning the Nobel Peace Prize fell to 5 percent in Kalshi on Monday evening, behind Sudan Emergency Services and Doctors Without Borders. But he was still ahead of Trump, who had a 2% chance of winning the prize over Kalshi.
Trump exaggerated his world peace achievements by starting a war with Iran, saying the Middle Eastern country posed an “imminent” threat to Americans because of its “nuclear ambitions.”
“I ended eight wars. Did I get the Nobel Prize? No,” Trump said from the Oval Office earlier this month. “Although the person who received it was kind enough to give it to me. She said that no one in the history of the Nobel Prize deserves it more than you. But in Norway they don’t like me because I think they think I’m a bit conservative.”
Trump was referring to Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner, who presented Trump with her medal in January after U.S. forces captured former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.
Publicly available Pentagon data reveals that at least 19 U.S. troops have died in the Iran war and thousands more Iranians have been killed, according to reports.
During his speech to the United Nations General Assembly in New York last week, Trump threatened to annihilate Iran.
“I have an important decision to make: Will a deal be reached with Iran that will allow them to rebuild and create a country far greater than it has ever been… or should I wipe out the Islamic Republic and do it quickly, without ever giving them a chance to kill and destroy people and countries again? » asked Trump.
While Trump is waging war against a Middle Eastern adversary, he is also fighting against America’s northern ally. The president pushed for Canada to become the 51st state and called Carney “the future governor of Canada.” He also signed an executive order last month to change the name of Lake Ontario to “Lake America.”
After trade talks collapsed, Trump last month imposed 50% tariffs on about $20 billion in Canadian imports, according to the AP. Canadian officials then announced dollar-for-dollar tariffs on U.S. goods, including steel, electronics and dairy, which began earlier this month. The Trump administration then banned some Canadian dairy products, motorcycles and most alcoholic beverages, which Carney said were “relatively modest steps” compared to other U.S. measures, according to another AP report.
Carney indicated he would continue to work with Trump on other international issues, saying: “We have to continue to work with the United States. We can compartmentalize this topic.”
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