
Chart: What data shows how the battle for the House could play out in 2026
Who will take control of the House?
Democrats enter the final sprint to Election Day as heavy favorites, according to polls, even though Republicans have money and geography on their side.
Currently, Democrats hold 214 seats in the House, compared to 219 for Republicans, with two seats vacant. Democrats need only three seats for a majority; the question then becomes: how big is this majority?
The chances of Republicans retaining majority control appear slim, but that outcome is still possible. The House battleground lies primarily in states and districts won by President Donald Trump in 2024, and Republicans last year tried to consolidate their structural advantage through redistricting. Both factors could prevent Democrats from taking full advantage of an increasingly favorable political environment, even if they flip the House.
Explore the interactive portion below to see how Democrats could build a large majority, or how Republicans could hang on.
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