Jensen Huang, CEO of Nvidia Corp., at the launch of the Sferical One AI supercomputer in Stockholm, Sweden, Thursday, October 15, 2026.
Erik Flyg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
NvidiaThe board is investigating CEO Jensen Huang, citing recent reports that he was targeted by a “foreign intelligence effort,” but traders on prediction markets think he is unlikely to be ousted as chief.
On Sunday, Huang admitted to having an extramarital affair with a woman who U.S. intelligence officials believe — according to the New York Times — is a spy for China’s Ministry of State Security.
On Kalshi, speculators estimate that there is only a 17% chance that Huang will be gone by 2027. Those chances rise to 30% by 2028 and 35% by 2029. However, they think there is a 75% chance that Huang will be gone by 2031.
Contracts on Huang’s departure on Kalshi are resolved using information from Bloomberg.
On Polymarket, speculators estimate there is only a one in four chance that Huang will resign or be forced out by the end of March 2027. Contracts are resolved on the platform using official statements from the company or from Huang himself.
Nvidia shares fell more than 5% after Monday’s announcement.
Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a business relationship that includes customer acquisition and minority investment.
Gn headline
