Updated November 14, 2026, 9:19 p.m. ET
Democrat Mary Peltola leads by four percentage points against Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan in the latest estimates in the still-uncalled Alaska Senate race.
The latest unofficial results from the Alaska Division of Elections put Peltola just above the crucial 50% threshold — at 50.1% — and more than 11,000 votes ahead of Sullivan, which could mean the race is about to be called.
Under Alaska’s ranked choice voting system, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the vote in the first round, the state will continue its ranked choice process to determine the winner by eliminating the candidate with the fewest votes. Voters who chose this eliminated candidate would have their vote reallocated to their second choice.
“There is no mathematical path for Sullivan to win this race,” Peltola’s campaign wrote in a social media post on Nov. 13. “When the remaining votes are counted, Mary will be decisively elected as the next United States Senator from Alaska.”
Alaska’s gubernatorial race was called on November 14, with Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins winning the seat that had been held by an unpopular Republican governor, who was barred from running again.
It’s the latest high-profile congressional race yet to be called, and the results will determine whether Democrats hold a 56-seat majority in the Senate, or whether the party divide will sit at 55-45.
On November 11, the final Senate race was called, with Mississippi Democrat Scott Colom ousting Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith. Democrats have flipped eight seats so far – Maine, North Carolina, South Carolina, Mississippi, Ohio, Iowa, Kansas and Texas – and Alaska could give them a ninth victory, adding to the historic midterm blue wave.
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