What a $10,000 investment in SpaceX could be worth by the end of 2027 after Elon Musk’s shocking revenue forecast

If SpaceX achieved a one-year ROI on its chips, servers, and networks, that would imply more than $400 billion in additional ARR by the end of 2027 on an additional 10 gigawatts of computing power and more than $520 billion based on its cumulative 13 gigawatts of computing power. Nvidia gets about $40 billion in revenue per gigawatt of computing power with its Vera Rubin platform, which SpaceX uses in its data centers, so the math is pretty simple. Meanwhile, if the company somehow managed to reach its long-term goal of 23 gigawatts, that would represent more than $920 billion in revenue.

In addition to expanding the capacity of its AI infrastructure, SpaceX is also looking to generate revenue from its new reusable Starship rocket. Its goal is to launch Starships weekly in the first half of 2027, then increase the frequency to twice a week in the second half. Since Starship has a much greater payload capacity than its Falcon 9 rocket, it will be able to generate significantly more revenue. However, the company still needs to prove that it can reliably recover and reuse both stages of the larger rocket.

SpaceX also appears ready to take on the US mobile market, having recently agreed to acquire spectrum. It is also reportedly in talks to gain access to 80,000 cell tower sites in the United States. If it can successfully compete in this market, it would be another interesting revenue stream for the company.

A stock over $300 by the end of 2027

The possibility that SpaceX could generate $800 billion or more in revenue in 2028 seems realistic. This would assume an AI-generated revenue rate of more than $500 billion by the end of 2027, then adding more than 10 additional gigawatts of computing power in 2028, as well as Starship, Starlink and its other businesses. Let’s assume that the stock is trading at this point at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of between 5 and 10, and that SpaceX would have a market cap of around $8 trillion.

However, we should assume that the company will make equity raises to cover the costs of some of these capital expenditures. So let’s also assume that it will increase its share count from 1.4 billion shares to 15 billion to raise about $200 billion. That would leave the stock valued between $300 and $530 per share, making a stake of 70 shares worth between $21,000 and $37,000 by the end of 2027. That makes the stock a buy.

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Geoffrey Seiler has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Ranks and Recommends Nvidia. The Mad Motley has a disclosure policy.

What a $10,000 investment in SpaceX could be worth by the end of 2027 after Elon Musk’s shocking revenue forecast was originally published by The Motley Fool