
Who will play in the Big 12 championship game? A detailed overview of the many options
SALT LAKE CITY — So you’re telling me there’s a chance?
This is what at least six Big 12 teams can believe with three games remaining in the regular season. At this point, Utah holds all the cards for one spot in Arlington, Texas, while defending champion Texas Tech is in the driver’s seat for the other.
But is this how it will play out on December 4, 2026 at AT&T Stadium?
I’ve gone through the many scenarios to try to give each team a snapshot of their chances, and I’ve laid them out in a handy (but chaotic) flowchart to get a view of the Big 12 championship game picture. While it’s probably not perfect with so many different scenarios still on the table that could change the outlook for the race, it’s as close a start as it gets.
Utah is currently favored in the three remaining games, but has an advantage and can lose at least one game to still earn a trip to Arlington. This gives Utah a high probability of making the championship game.
Texas Tech is a slight underdog against Oklahoma State on Saturday to give several other teams a chance. A Texas Tech team with two losses could open up a wild finale with several teams, including Arizona, Baylor, BYU, Houston and Texas Tech.
But enough talk… jump into the flowchart and check it all out for yourself below. If you don’t see the interactive graphic below, click here.
Gn sports