Commanders vs. Giants Odds, Picks and Predictions: Best Bets, Player Props for NFL Week 10, Thursday Night Football

Time really flies when you’re having fun. It’s hard to believe we’re already entering Week 10 of the 2026 NFL season, and Thursday Night Football brings us a reasonably Intriguing NFC East matchup as the Giants host the Commanders. On the surface, it appears to be a surprisingly good team against a pretty bad team. However, this NFL Week 10 matchup could significantly change the division race for both teams. It should also be at least close, with DraftKings Sportsbook now listing New York as a 1.5-point favorite in its Commanders vs. Giants odds. The Over/Under of the total points scored is set at 40.5. Get $55 Bonus After $25 Transactions By Claiming Latest Kalshi Promo Code CBSSPORTS55 Here:

JJ McCarthy will start again for the Giants, his third start since being traded by the Vikings (who will be on their third quarterback since trading away No. 9). The results so far have been mixed, although both games ended in Ws for New York. McCarthy looked like a future franchise quarterback against the Texans and much less so against the Eagles. Which guy do we have tonight?

His counterpart, Jayden Daniels, is much more assured in his position as franchise QB, but the season is on the brink for Washington with a 2-5-1 record. These two teams drew last time out – if the Commanders had managed to pull out the win in overtime (and they should have), this game would have even more juice. Bet on the NFL with the latest DraftKings promo code and get $200 in bonus bets and 3 free months of NBA League Pass:

Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

Commanders +2.5

This line has started to decline in most of the market, so we will happily take the +2.5 here which is not available in most places. I’m not going to say “bad favored team” because the Giants are a well-coached football team that has earned their first place in the division. I’m just not sure I have an interest in backing JJM as a primetime favorite, and I’m sure I have an interest in knocking him out of this spot. The Commanders had a horrible time this year, but they were a bit of a victim of a busy schedule. The Giants’ injury report is very favorable to them, but the Commanders are also pretty healthy. Dan Quinn can concoct some defensive stuff to thwart the erratic McCarthy here and I trust Daniels and Co. to accomplish that on offense with the weapons they have. Commanders outright.

Thursday Night Football Player Accessories

Malik Nabers Over 67.5 receiving yards (-112)

The bad news for Malik Nabers is that he is catching passes from JJ McCarthy. The good news for us is that because Nabers has JJM throw him the ball, we get a reasonably reduced number of receiving yards. Nabers might see some less catchable passes here, but he’s still been peppered with targets over the last two games, with McCarthy looking his way 17 times. He easily erased that number against a talented Houston secondary and will likely erase it against the Eagles if Philly struggles in any way. I think he has a big game in prime time.

Jayden Daniels Over 37.5 rushing yards (-113)

This is the perfect spot to get the upper hand on Daniels’ rushing yards. He’s pretty much in a must-win situation against a division rival in prime time. He’s also as healthy as he’s been since his injury, and he shredded the Giants on the ground last time out, racking up 110(!) rushing yards with two rushing touchdowns. I like him to let loose on the ground here, and he can top that on a single run if he’s feeling really frisky. Bet on NFL player props and more at BetMGM using BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS for up to $1,500 in bonus bets:

Thursday Night Football touchdowns anytime

Isaiah Probable (+190)

Quite a short number here, but I’m OK with it given how good Likely has been this season. He’s playing like a top-five tight end this year, and I’m not sure this is the week he really slows down. Washington has allowed the second-most touchdowns to tight ends (eight) this year, and if they stack the box, McCarthy will likely force his way into the red zone, where the former Raven has been lethal, scoring five touchdowns on nine targets/eight catches. I make absolutely no apologies for the pun.

Antonio Williams (+410)

Williams should have scored against the Giants in the previous game, breaking up a long touchdown that was called back for a ticky-tack penalty. He’s certainly not the first option on this team, but his ability to threaten deep makes him very interesting in a prime time spot where I would expect David Blough to take a few snaps or do some cheating with their speedster. This is kind of a kitchen sink game for Washington, and Williams is a kitchen sink guy.